College Grad Unemployment and Useless College Degrees.

Posted: May 11th, 2012 | Author: | Filed under: Economy, Employment | Tags: , , , , | 1 Comment »

The college grad unemployment or underemployment rate is currently at 53%, but is a poor economy to blame or useless college degrees?

Before we get into that question, let’s step back and take a look a closer look at the unemployment problem for recent grads.

College grad unemployment/underemployment is bad, real bad.

college grad unemployment 300x232 College Grad Unemployment and Useless College Degrees.
The news has been awash in horror stories about recent college graduates not finding work. Many more are able to find work, but not in their chosen field.

“More than half of America’s recent college graduates are either unemployed or working in a job that doesn’t require a bachelor’s degree”.

This according to the article, 53% of Recent College Grads Are Jobless or Underemployed—How? from The Atlantic.

The Atlantic (as most other sources I’ve seen) doesn’t break the number down, so it’s difficult to tell how many college grads are actually unemployed, vs. how many are considered underemployed.

This is an important question because I think it highlights a big problem in education in America today. It’s easy to point to grads who seem unwilling to take low level jobs that are available and say they’re lazy or have a sense of entitlement, and in some cases that’s certainly true, but there’s also a very real financial reason at play – namely, student loan debt.

College degrees are more expensive than ever, and students have piled on the debt. There was a time when this was a smart move because the higher level of education would help you find a good paying job, and the debt was affordable over time. But things are different now, and it’s a lot harder to pay off $30,000 in student loans when your working the line at a fast food restaurant.

This doesn’t just lead to higher college grad unemployment rates though. This also causes systemic problems in the economy since those highly educated grads are taking low skill jobs that could go to others. Those jobs would traditionally go to less educated workers.

Economy and the job market to blame for college grad unemployment, or is it useless degrees?

All of this sounds bad, hopelessly bad. But not all doors lead down College Grad Unemployment Row.

According to this article, Half of recent college grads underemployed or jobless, analysis says , from the AP:

“…students who graduated out of the sciences or other technical fields, such as accounting, were much less likely to be jobless or underemployed than humanities and arts graduates.”

It sounds like going to school for math and science based degrees does still pay off in the end, so this begs the big question:

Is the college grad unemployment problem because the job market stinks and the economy has fundamentally changed? or is it simply due to useless degrees?

It used to be said that going to college was simply paying your dues and doing your time for a fancy piece of paper. Cynics would say that the paper didn’t mean much, but it opened doors because so many jobs were only available to those with a college degree -any college degree.

Times have changed.

It appears that you not only need that fancy piece of paper, but you also need the skills to do the job.

Here’s another quote from that AP article:

“I don’t even know what I’m looking for,” says Michael Bledsoe, who described months of fruitless job searches as he served customers at a Seattle coffeehouse. The 23-year-old graduated in 2010 with a creative writing degree.

They don’t go into how much student loan debt Michael has, but I’d bet it’s a lot – more than he’ll be able to manage on his coffeehouse job. But what was he expecting?

What good is a creative writing degree?

Don’t get me wrong, I admire writers and creative writing is not something many people can do well. It takes a certain innate ability and creativity that can be cultivated but cannot be taught. Not everyone gets to be Stephen King.

I’d say that Michael, and others like him, would be extremely fortunate to get a job somewhere making $30,000 a year with his degree, but what do you want to bet he has that or more in student loan debt?

A simple truth that no one seems to want to discuss is that for some degrees, debt doesn’t make sense.

I ask you, what would full employment be for a graduate with a degree in creative writing and do enough such jobs exist for the number of graduates seeking employment?

As Mish points out on his blog post, 53% of New Graduates are Jobless or Underemployed; Rude Awakening for Class of 2012; Useless Degrees; Who Benefits From Student Aid?:

“Just what job does someone majoring in Political Science, English, History, Social Studies, Creative Writing, Art, etc., etc., etc., expect to get?

Arguably, graduates in those majors (and many more) should be thankful to get any job. … those who do land a job should therefore be considered fully employed, not underemployed.”

Is college education simply less valuable than in the past

I think the college grad unemployment issue raises the bigger question of whether college education is simply less valuable now than in the past.

A few years ago, I asked the question Who Are the Unemployed? The answer I found was largely those without a college degree.

But now it seems that we are seeing the effect of a bubble in college degrees.

When there were fewer graduates, a generic college degree used to be a valuable credential. Now that the market is flooded with applicants holding Bachelors degrees, those degrees count less, and specific skills count more. The result? – High college grad unemployment.

According to the Census (Educational Attainment in the United States: 2011 – Detailed Tables – U.S. Census Bureau),

“the number of Americans under the age of 25 with at least a bachelor’s degree has grown 38 percent since 2000. “

The job market has not been able to keep up with this glut in the highly educated workforce, and this has led to falling wages and college grad unemployment we see today.

Lower student loan rates are not the solution – that only encourages even more debt.

The message here is clear: parents should encourage useful college degrees, or none at all for their children.

It doesn’t take a degree to be an entrepreneur, or the next Stephen King or Picasso. Either follow your passion and make it work, or get a useful degree to fall back on. The free ride is over for college grads.

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Are Rising Rent Prices in 2012 Good for the Housing Market? (Video)

Posted: April 24th, 2012 | Author: | Filed under: Economy, Real Estate | Tags: , , , , | 1 Comment »

Rising rent prices are bad for renters but is it good for the housing market? I say it is, and here is why.

Rising rent prices and rental rates across the country

Rental rates rising across the country and prices are expected to increase 3.8% this year and 4% projected for 2013. That’s an average for the nation, which means the rise in rent prices could be much higher in cities with high rental demand.

In NYC for example, the rental vacancy rate is just above 1%. Demand is so great that renting often requires the level of paperwork usually reserved for mortgage applications! Rising rent prices have made the rental market so hot that it’s attracting serious investor capital with returns of 6-8%.

This is good, because it will drive rent prices up as more people get in the game.

How rising rent prices are good.

How can rising rent prices be good?“, I hear you ask.

It does defy common sense up to a point. I mean, higher rent prices mean more of a financial squeeze on renters, leaving them with less disposable income. But this is a short-term view.

In the long term, this is how markets should work. Rent prices rise to point of excess as investors pile in. Higher rental prices make it more affordable to buy a home than to rent one. Especially when the amount of paperwork required to rent is on par with that required to rent.

It doesn’t take Warren Buffet to do the math at this point. When you’re paying very nearly as much for rent as you would for a mortgage, and you need to meet much of the same requirements to rent that you would to buy, it just makes more sense to get the mortgage.

This is of course assuming your lifestyle is suited to being a homeowner. It still doesn’t make sense to buy a home if you travel a lot or don’t expect to live in it more than 7 years. But if you’ve got strong roots in the community and foresee no geographical changes in your future then higher rent prices may be the nudge you need to get you moving.

This is a great time to buy a house – provided you use it as a long term shelter and aren’t looking for a quick profit.

But don’t just take my word for it, here’s a video from BankRate.com:

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Older Americans Are 47 Times Richer Than Young – So What Or Injustice?

Posted: November 28th, 2011 | Author: | Filed under: Economy | Tags: , , , | 1 Comment »

According to a recent “news” article on CNNMoney.com, Old Americans are 47 times richer than young .

Is this social injustice?

Is this even a news story?

It seems from the article that the writer wants to at least give the implication that this portends something inherently unfair:

“According to analysis by the Pew Research Center released Monday, younger Americans have been left behind as the oldest generation has seen wealth surge since the mid-1980s”

 

Just look at some of the statistics on these greedy elderly people:

  • Households headed by adults younger than 35 had a median net worth of $3,662 in 2009.
  • Households headed by adults ages 65 years and older had a median of $170,494 in 2009.
  • The net worth in the less than 35 age bracket declined 68% since 1984.
  • The net worth in the 65 and older bracket increased 42% in the same time frame.

Is this really a story?

CNNMoney is comparing 2 separate things at the same time and getting them muddled.

First, instead of pitting the two age groups against each other, it should serve as an example of how the American dream is still achievable – you can be better off tomorrow than you are today! People, on average, tend to be better off financially as they move through life. This is a good thing. They accumulate more assets and less liabilities – their net worth improves. Comparing younger and older people in this sense is like saying that older Americans are less young than younger Americans. it may be true, but it’s a pointless comparison.

Secondly, comparing these segments to similar segments from 1984 is wildly inaccurate. Here’s why:

  • The economy in 1984 was on an upswing after the brutal recession of 1980-82, while the economy in 2009 was still in the midst of the Great Recession.
  • Housing prices were hardest hit in the 2008-2009 recession. Most homeowners in the under 35 age set had recently purchased their homes at high prices and had very little or no equity, in contrast to the over 65 age set who had held homes for longer (on average) and not lost as much equity. This skews the net worth towards the older set.
  • Simple demographics are different. People are working and living longer in 2009 than they were in 1984, giving them longer to accumulate more worth.
  • Children were deferring there entrance to the workforce longer in 2009 than they did in 1984, staying in school longer and accumulating student loan and credit card debt when they would have been earning a salary and likely saving some money or buying assets like houses.

Maybe I’m cynical, but it seems like this CNNMoney piece is just meant to contribute to the sense of class warfare out there and lead people to assume this ” 47-to-one wealth gap” is the result of unfair tax policies, or greed, or Halliburton or whatever. Then again, maybe it’s just a poorly written, minimally researched piece to fill some deadline for the writer.

Judging by some of the comments on the original article, quite a few are taking the story as a justification for class envy, which is just a sad state of affairs.

What say you?

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Unemployment Rate, Cities With Highest and Lowest Growth (Infographic).

Posted: September 9th, 2011 | Author: | Filed under: Economy, Employment | Tags: , , , , | No Comments »

We all know the economic state of the country in pretty bad, and here’s a visual representation of one factor of the economy – unemployment.

current unemployment rate 2008 2011 Unemployment Rate, Cities With Highest and Lowest Growth (Infographic).

You can see that despite the rhetoric (and trillions of dollars in spending), the unemployment rate hasn’t moved much. This first graph covers the unemployment rate from the start of the recession to August, 2011. The August figure is important because it’s the first time in over 40 years that the U.S. economy produced a net 0 new jobs.

The second graphic shows major U.S. cities that are losing or gaining the most jobs. It’s important to note that this data is NOT seasonally adjusted.

All the data is from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and presented as an infographic courtesy of the folks at Visual.ly

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